OMG. Really?
These drives have INDEPENDANT PROBABILITIES for hardware failure!
You don't add them together. One or 200, have the same probability of failure.
Its called, INDEPENDANT variables / probability! LOOK IT UP. The mistake you're both making is what most statistics student make (read all).
You don't double it unless they’re dependent on each other, and they're not.
The data may be beacuse it is in RAID0), but the hardware (HDD) themselves aren't. Pretty basic stuff and elemental descriptive mathematics.
In actual fact the probability goes down.
Say the probability of failure in 5 years is 20%. That’s 0.2 for both!
With independent statistics, the total probability is a multiplication of the two, meaning 0.2 x 0.2 = 4% not 40%.
Yes, the data loss in RAID0 is twice as likely (because you only need one to fail for the array to be destroyed), but the independent variable p for hardware failure, is exactly the same.
In fact this is the whole point of RAID. Every time you add a drive, the chance of BOTH (all) drives failing is exponentially less, not a multiplication of the n.