Tera Era?

How many more years do you thank before the Tera Era (in processors)?

  • Within the next 5 years

    Votes: 9 18.4%

  • Within the next 10 years

    Votes: 12 24.5%

  • Within the next 20 years

    Votes: 11 22.4%

  • Within the next 30 years

    Votes: 5 10.2%

  • Within the next 40 years

    Votes: 1 2.0%

  • Within the next 50 years

    Votes: 4 8.2%

  • Not in your lifetime

    Votes: 10 20.4%
  • Total voters
    49
I would surmise that it will take a while to achieve such speed in a processor, and even longer to make it commercial. We are living in the fastest growth of technology since man's creation and even so, processor speeds are only creeping up. There is a big difference between GHz and THz
 
You can fill them up fast especially if you save dvd's or something on your HD...a dvd is 4.7gb by it's self.
 
well think about it... in windows 95 era processor speed wus 100MHz... 5 years later 1GHz... 5 years later 3.8GHz...
but now the new Intel thing is 1.8-2.66GHz
now people are realizing clock speed isn't all as important... unlike how harddrive space is...
 
My own two cents on this is that I personally don't think it'll happen.
It took a few years to get to 1GHz. Then a much shorter time to 2GHz, then 3GHz... and then what? Where's 4GHz? Instead we're getting mulitple cores, and 64-bit wordlengths instead of 32-bit.

To get processors measured in THz, you'd have to go up to 10GHz, then 50GHz, then 100, 200, 500, etc. all the way to 1000GHz: 1THz. I've read that even with 3 or even 4GHz, Intel and AMD were already having to deal with electrons not being able to move fast enough from one place on the die to another, because they were limited by the speed of light. :o So I seriously doubt we'll see processors measured in Terahertz.

Tom
 
OvenMaster said:
My own two cents on this is that I personally don't think it'll happen.
It took a few years to get to 1GHz. Then a much shorter time to 2GHz, then 3GHz... and then what? Where's 4GHz? Instead we're getting mulitple cores, and 64-bit wordlengths instead of 32-bit.

To get processors measured in THz, you'd have to go up to 10GHz, then 50GHz, then 100, 200, 500, etc. all the way to 1000GHz: 1THz. I've read that even with 3 or even 4GHz, Intel and AMD were already having to deal with electrons not being able to move fast enough from one place on the die to another, because they were limited by the speed of light. :o So I seriously doubt we'll see processors measured in Terahertz.

Tom
Click to expand...

Or WHEN it happens the processor wont be constrained by the makeup of it chip... silicon copper etc. Another medium will need to be introduced for these type of speeds to be reached. That could happen tomorrow or in 10 years. I would say Thz in less than 10yrs, but more than 5 for sure.
 
I remember reading somewhere that at the current rate processor speeds double every 18 months. If we imagine for a second that 4ghz is a standard for high-end machines (i'm rounding up) that would mean that it would take about 12 years for processor speeds to reach 1Thz. This is all theoretical of course.
 
Well, I could be wrong. If they finally figure out a cheap way to get superconductors to work at room temps, then who knows?
Tom
 
"guess what (4:37pm EST Wed Jul 09 2003)
by 2008 we will easily hit 10ghz

- by an insider"

"2003 4Q Prescott 3.2 & 3.4Ghz
2004 4Q Tejas 5.8Ghz
2005 4Q Nehalem 9.6Ghz
2006 1-2Q 10GHZ !! - by Culan"

you think their right?
 
dark_legacy2006 said:
next 5 years im sure..... the biggest now s probly about 10 now. does anyone know how big the biggest single processor is?
Click to expand...
well it is easily possible to make a processor that is 10GHz, but it would have long/lots of pipelines, and prolly wouldn't be very effecient...

really, AMD has really shown us that clock speed means almost nothing... now Intel is adopting that... but currently none of these companies are trying to just find ways to up the frequency...
 
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