What happens to general tech progress if

Discussion in 'General Computer Chat' started by BlueDogAnchorite, Jan 11, 2017.

  1. BlueDogAnchorite

    BlueDogAnchorite Member

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    CPu power is stalled for another 20 years?
    I'ts been on mind recently. Many have said intel hasnt increased therit capacity due to a lack of comepetition. others have said that we are at silicons limit. I figured it was a mixture of both...

    But considering that intel have changed their tick tock. I am inclined to think that its mostly due to silicon limits now. If thats true we are getting no advances until quantum/dan or whatever other techs mature. But I dont recall reading anything that implied that other techs wre anywhere near replacing silicon,

    So what happens to general tech progress if cpu power stops advancing.
    What fiels would still advance rapidly if any?
     
  2. beers

    beers Moderator Staff Member

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    MOAR CORES
     
    Darren likes this.
  3. Cromewell

    Cromewell Administrator Staff Member

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    Forget Silicon. Use Germanium. WAVE OF THE FUTURE.
     
  4. mistersprinkles

    mistersprinkles Active Member

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    Silicon limit and optimization limit are fast approaching. Used to be that you just made the transistors switch faster and made some minor optimizations here and there and things kept getting faster. Now we've been stuck at a wall behind 5Ghz for years and years, we can't shrink the production process much further, and we have been optimizing behind that 5Ghz wall for so long that the engineers are running out of ideas.

    GPUs continue to advance by leaps and bounds. CPUs not so much.
     
  5. Calin

    Calin Well-Known Member

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    They will increase the core count most likely. I wonder how Intel will react to Ryzen.
     
  6. Okedokey

    Okedokey Well-Known Member

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    Quantum computing.
     
  7. Agent Smith

    Agent Smith Well-Known Member

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    This.


    And this.
     
  8. BlueDogAnchorite

    BlueDogAnchorite Member

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    Hang on, isnt the millitary supposed to be decades ahead of us? SO what are they using?
     
  9. Okedokey

    Okedokey Well-Known Member

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    I doubt it.
     
  10. beers

    beers Moderator Staff Member

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    You can aggregate a large amount of computing resources into a supercomputing cluster.
     
  11. ian

    ian Administrator Staff Member

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    That may have been the case once upon a time in the distant past, but I highly doubt that today. It is only the movies that would make you think that.
    I think the consumer end is at the cutting edge of technology, not military.
     
  12. Cromewell

    Cromewell Administrator Staff Member

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    The stuff they found in the Roswill crash. :p
     
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  13. beers

    beers Moderator Staff Member

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    7,211
    I've seen a few rows of cray labeled racks in a secure NSA facility. I'd say the cutting edge is definitely more on the hosted/data center and enterprise side :p
     
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  14. Agent Smith

    Agent Smith Well-Known Member

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    2,499

    I've read that the NSA has contracts with server manufactures to make sure they get the best servers beyond what is available to the consumer market. Whether that's true or not I don't know.
     
  15. Darren

    Darren Moderator Staff Member

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    My cousin works for the NSA. I should ask him...

    If I don't come back, you all know what happened.
     
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  16. mistersprinkles

    mistersprinkles Active Member

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    He can tell you, but then he has to kill you. Not worth it IMO.
     
  17. BlueDogAnchorite

    BlueDogAnchorite Member

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    Ok I havnt read any articles indicating that germanium quantum or whatever are close to maturing. So.. perhaps there will be another decade of stagnation.
     
  18. BlueDogAnchorite

    BlueDogAnchorite Member

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  19. mistersprinkles

    mistersprinkles Active Member

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    I wonder if Intel's Xpoint technology can be harnessed for computation rather than just storage and if there is some potential there. (Should be possible? At least in my opinion based on limited technological understanding)
     
  20. BlueDogAnchorite

    BlueDogAnchorite Member

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    162
    Exactly, home cpu progress is dead for a decade.
     

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